Football Bet

PRO FOOTBALL BETS — December 11

NEW ENGLAND at WASHINGTON

(Football Bet Line: Patriots -8, Total 47.5) — We don’t know why the Pats went to sleep in the fourth quarter against Indianapolis last week, allowing 21 points to the dreadful Colts. Rex Grossman throws it all over the place against the Jets last week (46 attempts), but didn’t have much to show for it (221 yards). Of course, the Patriots are more permissive than that, allowing eight yards a pass, 44% on third down and 412 yards a game. And maybe Roy Helu (208 yards the last two weeks) can get something going against the soft New England front (4.2 ypc allowed).

Tom Brady is back on one of those rolls where he is not giving the ball away (10 TD’s, no INT’s the last four weeks) and consequently, this has brought four straight QB ratings of 109 or better and four straight Pats wins. You could have made it four straight covers if they hadn’t taken the fourth quarter off last week. In terms of the giveaway category, count on the Redskins to be more charitable (Grossman’s thrown 15 INT’s) and that might spell the difference. The Redskins have won only a come-from-behind effort against Seattle in their last eight games.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: OVER 47.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — December 3

BYU at HAWAII

(Football Bet Line: BYU -8, Total 54.5) — There’s been a bit of a nosedive for Hawaii, and I guess that’s understandable, as Bryant Moniz’s injury is demonstrating that you can’t plug just anybody into the Warriors’ lineup and expect them to operate the system with smashing results. Three consecutive losses were followed by a non-cover against a vacationing Tulane team that has a lame duck staff, and David Graves, the sophomore who made the start in place of Moniz, threw a pair of interceptions. Receivers are thin at Hawaii as well, and BYU, which has a campus in Hawaii, isn’t coming in for a vacation.

The Cougars have been moving along relatively well, even as Jake Heaps has had to step back in at quarterback. He’s gone 36 of 56 in the last two, with six TD’s. Now comes word that Riley Nelson, who looked like he was out for a while with broken ribs, might play here. It’s all a game-time decision, and may be a bit confusing for BYU, especially if Nelson can’t get through the whole thing. For Hawaii, it’s their bowl eligibility that’s at stake, and they’re not often getting points like this on their home field against a team that isn’t in the Top 25.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: HAWAII +8 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — November 26

SAN DIEGO STATE at UNLV

(Football Bet Line: San Diego State -16.5, Total 54.5) — Against Division I teams, UNLV has covered eight of its last nine home games. You had better believe that home cooking means something to this team that has picked and chosen its spots to be competitive, which have included wins over Colorado State and Hawaii. San Diego State is more advanced than those foes, to be sure, but Ryan Lindley, a talented quarterback who will get a long look in the NFL, has struggled a bit without the receiving depth he had last year, and Ronnie Hillman, who is fifth in the nation in rushing, has a bad ankle, although he is expected to play. Sure, bowl-eligible San Diego State wins, but will have a hard time extending the margin against a Rebel squad that will be feisty at Sam Boyd Stadium.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: UNLV +16.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — November 19

KANSAS at TEXAS A&M

(Football Bet Line: Texas A&M -30.5, Total 66) — It’s kind of hard to believe that with all the offense they have (ranked 6th in the nation), the Aggies still need one more win to get bowl-eligible. Next up is the big rivalry game against Texas, so they better get this win. Surely their balance will be upsetting for the Jayhawks; A&M ranks 16th in both rushing AND passing. and they got so close to their averages in those departments in last year’s meeting with KU that it’s scary. They also have registered 35 sacks. The five losses bring decent excuses, as they came at the hands of Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Missouri and Kansas State - those latter two in overtime.

Texas A&M, however, is also minus-8 in the turnover category, and has covered just once the last eight times they’ve laid points. Sure, Kansas has taken some horrific beatings on the road. But the Jayhawks have been extremely competitive in the last two games, taking Iowa State (who just beat Oklahoma State) to the wire, then losing in overtime to Baylor. If Jordan Webb hadn’t been intercepted three times, there might have been a different story there.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: KANSAS +30.5 *

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — November 12

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at FLORIDA INTL.

(Football Bet Line: FIU -17.5, Total 43.5) — This has been a final season that Howard Schnellenberger would like to forget; enough to send him into retirement with a lot of nightmares. Even after “coming alive” in their last two games, FAU is averaging just 13 points a game. and while Graham Wilbert has been gallant, he has hardly produced a solution at quarterback (10 INT’s, 4.8 yards per attempt!).

When you talk about revenge matchups in this relatively unknown but heated rivalry, referred to as the “Shula Bowl,” you’ve got to be looking toward the Panthers, who have dropped the last five and scored just nine points in last year’s game. FIU’s offense sometimes has a tough time getting untracked, but it has the more reliable rushing option (Kedrick Rhodes) and experience at quarterback with Wesley Carroll. Could this be a real opportunity for TY Hilton (32 receiving yards last week) to bust a couple of big ones? Sure, we have doubts about FIU, but FAU isn’t bringing much ammunition to the table against a charged-up bunch.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: FIU -17.5 *

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — November 5

ARMY at AIR FORCE

(Football Bet Line: Air Force -16.5, Total 58.5) — This is one of those service academy rivalries that has been particularly one-sided through the years, with Air Force winning 13 of the last 14 meetings, covering twelve of those. The dynamic may be in place for the Falcons, as they will be probably have the services of quarterback Tim Jefferson (broken nose), who is obviously very adroit at running the option. Connor Dietz would be okay in relief, and Air Force’s other runners should be good to go.

Air Force is ranked third nationally in rushing, while Army is #1. Does it come down to who the better “catcher” is, rather than the better “pitcher”? Both have been generous in defending opposition rushing attacks, allowing close to five yards a carry. Trent Steelman is most likely out with an injury to his leg. Backups Max Jenkins and Angel Santiago are a combined three-for-15 for 50 yards through the air, but more importantly, they don’t have a lot of experience running the option in game situations, and for a team that has fumbled the ball fifteen times, more than anybody, that makes every snap an adventure. Army has done nothing to indicate that it can go o0n the road and overachieve, and the weather, which may include snow, won’t help.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: AIR FORCE -16.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — October 29

KANSAS at TEXAS
(Football Bet Line: Texas -28, Total 64) — The way I’m looking at this one, the Longhorns are coming off two straight losses AND a bye week, and can’t really afford to be looking ahead toward anyone, even if it’s Texas Tech. Kansas has allowed 6.2 ypc, which is more than anyone in the country, and they have allowed 57 ppg over their last five. Texas may not have the same kind of firepower as Oklahoma State (70 pts) or even Georgia Tech (66 pts), but they are maybe in the same league as Kansas State, which hung up 59 last week.

Young ‘Horn QB David Ash has thrown two interceptions in each of his last two contests, but it may not be that difficult to go behind enemy lines, with the Jayhawks having picked off only two passes thus far. If Texas has any frustrations to take out, this may be like a 7-Eleven for them (meaning it’s a convenience store for that kind of thing).

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: TEXAS -28 *

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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PRO FOOTBALL BETS — October 23

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA
(Football Bet Line: Steelers -4, Total 44) — Arizona will experience some shuffling in the defensive backfield. Safety Kerry Rhodes is out, and this was a thin secondary to begin with, and that will spell a problem. Ben Roethlisberger will be operating behind an offensive line that has not had the same combination for two weeks in a row yet this season, but we all know he is accustomed to this kind of situation anyway. The Steelers are once again missing a few defensive starters, and they are meaningful (Casey Hampton, James Harrison, Aaron Smith), although Troy Polamalu has been cleared to play after suffering a mild concussion last week.

The result shave been very ho-hum with Kevin Kolb at quarterback (589%, 5 TD, 6 INT) and Todd Heap is not likely to play. However, there is a healthy Beanie Wells present, and that’s not an everyday thing. On the technical side, Arizona has covered just six of its last 20 games. But Pittsburgh has not been a ball of fire when traveling.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: ARIZONA +4 *

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BET — October 22

OREGON at COLORADO

(Football Bet Line: Oregon -31, Total 64) — Colorado’s defense has been greatly depleted by injury, and the Buffs have allowed 100 points over the last two weeks. Defensive backs have been going in and out, and players from offense have been converted. Now a “stop” unit that was allowing 4.6 yards per rushing attempt has lost its top tackler, linebacker Douglas Rippy, for the season. Under the circumstances (including being sacked 19 times), Colorado QB Tyler Hansen has not done too badly, as he’s been picked off only three times. But he is losing some of his key support, as running back Rodney Stewart, who not only had 473 rushing yards but also led the team in receptions, is out, as is wide receiver Paul Richardson, who was Hansen’s favorite “money” target (five TD’s).

Oregon has had some injury woes as well; running back LeMichael James, who was leading the nation in rushing, is out with an elbow injury, and QB Darren Thomas had to leave last week’s game when he hurt his knee. But there is enough depth for a “plug ‘n play” philosophy with the Ducks.Thomas will most likely play, but junior Kenjon Barner (171 yards vs. Arizona State) seems to be filling in quite nicely.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: OREGON -31 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BET — October 15

MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE

(Football Bet Line: Michigan State -2.5, Total 49) — Brady Hoke has fashioned himself as a contender for national coach of the year. His Wolverines are no longer sieve-like on the defensive side, and Denard Robinson is still performing feats of derring-do. He is obviously getting much more comfortable in running out of Hoke’s offense, which is not the same as he utilized under Rich Rodriguez, and he seems to have developed a little better instinct in passing the ball.

But let’s not lose sight of the fact that Michigan State held Robinson to 86 yards on the ground in last year’s meeting, after he had accumulated 905 in the first five games, and intercepted him three times, which was a career high until Robinson has suffered that fate TWICE this year. And that Spartan defense is now ranked #1 in the country, stopping the opponent’s rushing game pretty much cold (2.2 ypc). The latest effort, two weeks ago, was keeping Ohio State scoreless - in the Horseshoe no less - until the final ten seconds of the game. This won’t be a picnic for Robinson & Co.

JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: MICHIGAN STATE -2.5 **

(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)

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