October 8th, 2011
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — October 8
AUBURN at ARKANSAS
(Football Bet Line: Arkansas -9.5, Total 63.5) — No one should be writing off Auburn, especially in light of their only loss, which took place at the hands of Clemson, which has proven its mettle by going on to defeat Florida State and Virginia Tech. Remember the comeback against Utah State in the season’s opener, and the dramatic game against Mississippi State, where they held the Bulldogs off at the end. Last week they pulled off a road win at South Carolina, and as long as they get adequate quarterback play from Barrett Trotter (9 TD’s, 5 INT’s), they have sufficient balance to offer a guy like running back Michael Dyer, who has rumbled for a combined 442 yards against Mississippi State, Clemson and South Carolina.
Arkansas bounced back nicely as well from their only loss, beating Texas A&M after falling badly to Alabama. Bobby Petrino couldn’t make it in the pro ranks as a head coach, but his offensive schemes in the college game are winners, and he has a good enough trigger man in Tyler Wilson to do some damage. However, this team lacks balance, and the Hogs have to start taking the ball from the opponent (only four so far).
JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: AUBURN +9.5 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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October 2nd, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL BETS — October 1
PITTSBURGH at HOUSTON
(Football Bet Line: Texans -3.5, Total 46) — You look at this Pittsburgh team, and if you throw out the home game where they beat up on a dysfunctional, “road worrier” Seattle club, they have been quite out of kilter themselves. Part of it, of course, has to do with injuries, as this team is down a couple of offensive linemen. As a result, they cannot move the football on the ground, nor can they protect Ben Roethlisberger effectively. Trai Essex came in “off the street” a week ago and he will be the left tackle, trying to keep Mario Williams and others off Big Ben’s back.
Houston is operating on almost all cylinders offensively. Matt Schaub is averaging nearly nine yards a pass, and Andre Johnson is averaging over 100 yards a game. By the way, so is Ben Tate, the running back who was injured and missed last season. Do you notice a pattern with the Texans? First it was Steve Slaton, then Arian Foster, and now Tate. At least Gary Kubiak has an offensive line that can block.
JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: HOUSTON -3.5
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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October 1st, 2011
COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETS — October 1
MARSHALL at LOUISVILLE
(Football Bet Line: Louisville -11, Total 46) — Louisville (2 ypc) is the kind of team that ought to hold up rather well on the defensive end. But there is some concern about how Charlie Strong will handle the offense. Will Stein, who has been the starter at QB, has injured his shoulder, and in his place, Teddy Bridgewater, a hotshot freshman who was at one time committed to Miami, came in and sparked a win over Kentucky. He’s a dual threat, and considerably more capable than Stein, but Strong does not want to take the job away simply due to an injury. Still, it may be worth laying the points against a Marshall team that hasn’t made second-half adjustments very well, and has a combustible quarterback in Rakeem Cato (a former high school opponent of Bridgewater).
JAY’S FOOTBALL BET: LOUISVILLE -11 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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September 24th, 2011
PRO FOOTBALL — September 25
KANSAS CITY at SAN DIEGO
(Football Bet Line: Chargers -14.5, Total 45.5) — How bad can things possibly get for the Chiefs? Humiliated in the season opener by Buffalo at home, they turned around and laid down at Detroit. This team has never got off to a worse two-game start. We already know that Todd Haley has alienated everyone in the organization, and that he may be on his way out, but isn’t there a point where a team, especially one that made last year’as playoffs, decides it is going to push back a little? After all, this is the NFL. And that is what worries us a little about this game. Kansas City sprang the upset in the season opener last year, capitalizing on special teams breakdowns on the part of the Chargers and making a winner out of an underdog football bet. But San Diego already got big-time revenge in a subsequent 31-0 win when it had a scary 426-67 yardage edge.
Matt Cassel does not look like a big-money quarterback at this time (4.3 yards an attempt, four interceptions). And even though the Chiefs can fill a backfield (Dexter McCluster, Thomas Jones), the big “hoss” (Jamaal Charles) is lost for the season. Philip Rivers has been intercepted four times. The Chargers could be rushing the ball a little better. The Chiefs have lost their last four games by a combined 140-27 score. That may give us a ray of light here. We don’t want to lay the points, but we can’t take ‘em either. The total may be the way to go, and Kansas City may not contribute muchto getting it up there.
JAY’S PLAY: UNDER 45.5 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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September 23rd, 2011
COLLEGE FOOTBALL — September 24
MISSOURI at OKLAHOMA
(Football Bet Line: Oklahoma -21, Total 56.5) — Oklahoma has had this game “circled” after suffering a 36-27 loss to Mizzou last year, in which the Tigers had almost 500 yards of total offense and Landry Jones was intercepted twice. Of course, when you look at Jones, a Heisman Trophy candidate, he has dominant numbers in Norman, where he has 20 TD passes and two interceptions since the beginning of last season. No one needs to tell you that Ryan Broyles is going to be a very difficult wideout to stop. Still, the line here may be bloated a bit to accommodate the revenge quotient; Missouri has already ventured into enemy territory with some pointspread success in a football bet (albeit at Arizona State) and they’re getting some solid play out of James Franklin (6 TD’s, one INT), who took over the QB job from NFL first-round draft choice Blaine Gabbert. Franklin brings more of a ground element to the table than Gabbert. Look, any team than can gain 744 yards in a game, as Missouri did against Western Illinois, at least has some execution down pat.
JAY’S PLAY: MISSOURI +21 **
(All information is for news matter only; All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars. Lines are subject to change)
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